tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35777384.post3446596110880189345..comments2024-03-26T13:58:01.822-07:00Comments on The Dangerous Economist: Unemployment Has Been Good RecentlyCyril Moronghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35777384.post-35933121419303033852008-02-22T08:04:00.000-08:002008-02-22T08:04:00.000-08:00Cyril,I am from Moscow, Russia. But currently work...Cyril,<BR/><BR/>I am from Moscow, Russia. But currently work for an international organization in Vienna, Austria.<BR/><BR/>I am collecting links to economic and market blogs for my own blog by grid-search through other economic blogs. Somewhere I caught this link and checked it today. Unemployment, inflation, labor force, etc. my favorite topics.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35777384.post-33811179979489735992008-02-22T07:47:00.000-08:002008-02-22T07:47:00.000-08:00IvanThanks again for dropping by. I started this b...Ivan<BR/><BR/>Thanks again for dropping by. I started this blog mainly to get discussions going with my students. How did you happen to come across it?<BR/><BR/>One of my grandfathers was from Belarus. He grew up near Minsk. He left in 1912 and died here in the US in 1975.<BR/><BR/>CyrilCyril Moronghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35777384.post-25624448136492773622008-02-22T07:42:00.000-08:002008-02-22T07:42:00.000-08:00Just one more trick with the LFPR.dLFPR/LFPR in th...Just one more trick with the LFPR.<BR/>dLFPR/LFPR in the USA almost completely explains the evolution of productivity from the 1960s to present.<BR/><BR/>http://inflationusa.blogspot.com/2008/02/on-source-of-changes-in-productivity.htmlAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35777384.post-84402967617721548582008-02-22T07:36:00.000-08:002008-02-22T07:36:00.000-08:00Cyrill,I just play with this type curves several y...Cyrill,<BR/><BR/>I just play with this type curves several years and wrote dozen working papers for developed countries, so got some experience. <BR/><BR/>Except the typo your message is right - the LFPR has been increasing since the 1960s . Only the last seven years we observe an opposite evolution.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35777384.post-50825300475469305112008-02-22T07:18:00.000-08:002008-02-22T07:18:00.000-08:00IvanThanks for dropping by and catching that mista...Ivan<BR/><BR/>Thanks for dropping by and catching that mistake. I simply mis-wrote it and I have changed it now.<BR/><BR/>CyrilCyril Moronghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07148864847009186694noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35777384.post-10927169032365051382008-02-22T07:01:00.000-08:002008-02-22T07:01:00.000-08:00For obvious reasons you have toswap curves or colo...For obvious reasons you have to<BR/>swap curves or colors. LFPR can not be below the employment/popualtion ratio<BR/><BR/>One can check original source: http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost?ln<BR/><BR/><BR/>Interestingly, that if one take time derivalive of relative growth of labor force level, LFRP times (adult)population , s/he obtains a shifted and scaled UE rate curve. <BR/>the dLF/LF curve leads the UE curve by 5 years.<BR/><BR/>http://inflationusa.blogspot.com/2007/07/generalized-relationship-between.htmlAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com