Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Are Stock Analysts Useless?

By Spencer Jakab of The WSJ. Excerpts:

"The percentage of “sell” ratings rose briefly after the legal spotlight shone on Wall Street’s seers in the early aughts.

It’s back down to 5%, which is worse than it sounds. While stock prices broadly rise over time, only a minority of them produce those gains. Most don’t beat cash in the bank."

"The reason many professional investors keep relying on analysts who are chummy with executives is that it’s perceived as an edge."

"the nuggets they glean in conversation with executives, or the private management meetings those analysts set up for clients, don’t benefit individual investors."

"Take a post by Bespoke Investment, a little over two years ago, on the nine large U.S. stocks that Wall Street analysts recommended unanimously. Buying one share of each company (including one that underwent a merger) would have returned 17%. That’s just a third as much as an S&P 500 index fund through yesterday morning."

Related posts:

Want to Beat the Stock Market? Avoid the Cost of ‘Being Human’: Professional fund managers labor under handicaps that individual investors don’t face. Make sure you manage your portfolio differently than they do (2023) 

Keynes As An Investor (2012)

From 1720 to Tesla, FOMO Never Sleeps: The South Sea bubble is the classic story of an investing mania. Are investors today any wiser? (2020)

Beat the Market by Picking the Market (2022)

Interesting Theory on Stock Market Fluctuations (2007)

Ignorance Really Is Bliss When It Comes to Investing (2023)

The Making of the World’s Greatest Investor (2020) 

No comments: