Here are the changes in the seasonally adjusted CPI for the six months ending in Nov:
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average (CPIAUCSL) was 325.031 in Nov. and 326.030 in Dec. Since 326.030/325.031 = 1.00307, that means it was up 0.307% over the two months. If we went up that much every month for 12 months it would be up 3.75%.
It was 317.603 in Dec. 2024. Since 326.030/317.603 = 1.0265, that means it was up 2.65% over the last12 months.
The non-seasonally adjusted CPI was 324.054 in Dec. and 315.605 in Dec. 2024. That was up 2.68%. So pretty close to the seasonally adjusted CPI. This is still above the Fed's target of 2.0% (although they prefer to use the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index which was 2.8% higher in Sept. 2025 than Sept. 2024). See BEA says it will use US September, November CPI averages to calculate October PCE inflation. It said "The delayed PCE inflation data for October and November will be published on January 22."
For more information see Here’s the inflation breakdown for December 2025 — in one chart by Greg Iacurci of CNBC. Excerpt:
"Progress in the fight to throttle back inflation appeared to stall in December amid price pressures from groceries, dining out, utility gas, clothing and other categories of consumer spending.
The consumer price index, a key inflation gauge, rose 2.7% in December from 12 months earlier, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Tuesday. That was unchanged from the previous month and in line with estimates.
“The bottom line is, I think inflation is still uncomfortably high,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s. “Inflation for staples, necessities, remains elevated.”"
The article also discusses what types of products are going up in price and what is going down. There is a graph of the monthly year-over-year percent change in prices and core prices going back almost 4 years.
|
Year |
CPI %Ch. |
|
Year |
CPI %Ch. |
|
Year |
CPI %Ch. |
|
Year |
CPI %Ch. |
|
1914 |
1 |
|
1944 |
2.3 |
|
1974 |
12.3 |
|
2004 |
3.3 |
|
1915 |
2 |
|
1945 |
2.2 |
|
1975 |
6.9 |
|
2005 |
3.4 |
|
1916 |
12.6 |
|
1946 |
18.1 |
|
1976 |
4.9 |
|
2006 |
2.5 |
|
1917 |
18.1 |
|
1947 |
8.8 |
|
1977 |
6.7 |
|
2007 |
4.1 |
|
1918 |
20.4 |
|
1948 |
3 |
|
1978 |
9 |
|
2008 |
0.1 |
|
1919 |
14.5 |
|
1949 |
-2.1 |
|
1979 |
13.3 |
|
2009 |
2.7 |
|
1920 |
2.6 |
|
1950 |
5.9 |
|
1980 |
12.5 |
|
2010 |
1.5 |
|
1921 |
-10.8 |
|
1951 |
6 |
|
1981 |
8.9 |
|
2011 |
3 |
|
1922 |
-2.3 |
|
1952 |
0.8 |
|
1982 |
3.8 |
|
2012 |
1.7 |
|
1923 |
2.4 |
|
1953 |
0.7 |
|
1983 |
3.8 |
|
2013 |
1.5 |
|
1924 |
0 |
|
1954 |
-0.7 |
|
1984 |
3.9 |
|
2014 |
0.8 |
|
1925 |
3.5 |
|
1955 |
0.4 |
|
1985 |
3.8 |
|
2015 |
0.7 |
|
1926 |
-1.1 |
|
1956 |
3 |
|
1986 |
1.1 |
|
2016 |
2.1 |
|
1927 |
-2.3 |
|
1957 |
2.9 |
|
1987 |
4.4 |
|
2017 |
2.1 |
|
1928 |
-1.2 |
|
1958 |
1.8 |
|
1988 |
4.4 |
|
2018 |
1.9 |
|
1929 |
0.6 |
|
1959 |
1.7 |
|
1989 |
4.6 |
|
2019 |
2.3 |
|
1930 |
-6.4 |
|
1960 |
1.4 |
|
1990 |
6.1 |
|
2020 |
1.4 |
|
1931 |
-9.3 |
|
1961 |
0.7 |
|
1991 |
3.1 |
|
2021 |
7 |
|
1932 |
-10.3 |
|
1962 |
1.3 |
|
1992 |
2.9 |
|
2022 |
6.5 |
|
1933 |
0.8 |
|
1963 |
1.6 |
|
1993 |
2.7 |
|
2023 |
3.4 |
|
1934 |
1.5 |
|
1964 |
1 |
|
1994 |
2.7 |
|
2024 |
2.9 |
|
1935 |
3 |
|
1965 |
1.9 |
|
1995 |
2.5 |
|
2025 |
2.7 |
|
1936 |
1.4 |
|
1966 |
3.5 |
|
1996 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
|
1937 |
2.9 |
|
1967 |
3 |
|
1997 |
1.7 |
|
|
|
|
1938 |
-2.8 |
|
1968 |
4.7 |
|
1998 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
1939 |
0 |
|
1969 |
6.2 |
|
1999 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
1940 |
0.7 |
|
1970 |
5.6 |
|
2000 |
3.4 |
|
|
|
|
1941 |
9.9 |
|
1971 |
3.3 |
|
2001 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
1942 |
9 |
|
1972 |
3.4 |
|
2002 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
1943 |
3 |
|
1973 |
8.7 |
|
2003 |
1.9 |
|
|
|

No comments:
Post a Comment