Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Apartment Rents Fall as Crush of New Supply Hits Market

By Will Parker of The WSJ. Excerpts:

"Apartment rents fell in every major metropolitan area in the U.S. over the past six months through January, a trend that is poised to continue as the biggest delivery of new apartments in nearly four decades is slated for this year.  
Renters with new leases in January paid a median rent that was 3.5% lower than they would have paid last August, according to estimates from listing website Apartment List. It was the first time in five years that rent fell every month over a six-month period, according to the same estimates."
"The softening rental market follows an unprecedented run for the apartment and home-rental industry put into motion by the pandemic. Pent-up demand for housing exploded in the months after the introduction of Covid-19 vaccines in late 2020 and a surge in people searching for apartments lifted rents 25% over two years. 
Now, recent declines are a sign that many tenants have maxed out on how much of their income they can devote to rent, while the specter of layoffs has created new concerns for some. Other would-be renters, living with family or friends, remain sidelined by prices that are still far too high for their budgets. 
While some seasonal stalling in rents is normal, the market faces a significant headwind in the biggest delivery of new supply since 1986, according to projections from CoStar Group. Nearly half a million new apartments are coming on line this year as developers seek to cash in on the high rents that tenants have been paying."
"In the months since August, new-lease rents have fallen most sharply in some of the nation’s biggest metro areas. Seattle rents have tumbled 8%, while rents in Boston and Las Vegas have fallen 6%" 
"Apartment vacancies have risen since last fall, several reports show, due to weaker demand from potential renters. Fewer people are flocking to Zoomtowns—communities that experienced a surge in population from an influx of remote workers—such as Boise, Idaho, or Phoenix compared with earlier in the pandemic"
This is exactly what we would expect: A short-run rise in prices causes higher profits which leads producers to increase output in the long run. That shift in supply to the right lowers prices.

Related posts on supply and demand:

Egg Prices Surge to Records as Bird Flu Hits Poultry Flocks (2022)

How Supply And Demand Have Affected Beef Prices Recently (2017)

Cold Snap Sparks Record Rise in Natural Gas Prices in Asia (2021)

Supply Means Producing A Good And Customers Being Able To Purchase It (2018)

Are Expectations Helping To Raise The Price Of Lithium? (2021)

Is there a shortage of homes? (2020)

Farmers might be reducing supply of corn now in expectation of higher prices this fall (2019)

Used vehicle prices up as supply sinks, but relief is coming (2021)

What Chocolate Shortage? Cocoa Prices Steady as Record Output Projected (2019)

Supply & Demand And The Price Of Eggs (2017)

Another Journalist Misunderstands Supply And Demand (2009)

Fastest-Rising Food Prices in Decades Drive Consumers to Hunt for Value (2020)

Supply, Demand and the High Price of Vanilla (2019)


New Zealand sheep farmers turn to cattle as the world price of milk rises (2017)

Why has the price of eggs risen so much? (2023)

When demand for one good falls (gasoline and ethanol) leads to an increase in price for other goods (beer and soda) (2020)

Egg market seems to act just the way supply and demand predict (2019)

Chicken Shortage Sends Prices Soaring, and Restaurants Can’t Keep Up (2021)

India sets a price floor for sugar and gets a surplus (2018)

Drivers Throttle Back as Gasoline Prices Rise (2022)

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